YEARLY HIGH
2.8310 MDL
YEARLY LOW
2.5302 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.6752 MDL

2018 HRK to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HRK to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 2.8310. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 2.5302.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3008 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.7811 to the December average rate of 2.6386, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.13% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.8310 was down 1.93% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.8867, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HRK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,155 MDL
2017 Average 13,938 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 12,651 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,503.84 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2.8008
2.5645
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HRK to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.7255, compared to 2.6249 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1006 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.7255
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.6249

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.1084 MDL (High: 2.6386 / Low: 2.5302). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0441 MDL (High: 2.7413 / Low: 2.6972).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1084
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0441

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0569 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0569

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 2.7686) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.8513), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0827 (-2.90%).

2018 Avg (February) 2.7686
2017 Avg (February) 2.8513

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.8224 2.7408 2.7811
February 2.8310 2.7302 2.7686
March 2.7892 2.7175 2.7479
April 2.7413 2.6972 2.7207
May 2.7054 2.6428 2.6673
June 2.6908 2.6302 2.6674
July 2.6715 2.6080 2.6411
August 2.6386 2.5302 2.5842
September 2.6736 2.5984 2.6351
October 2.6626 2.6007 2.6325
November 2.6457 2.5804 2.6179
December 2.6627 2.6126 2.6386