2011 KES to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1536 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.1106 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1327 MDL

2011 KES to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the KES to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 14, valuing the pair at 0.1536. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 0.1106.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0430 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1504 to the December average rate of 0.1361, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.54% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.1536 was down 9.98% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.1706, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 768 MDL

2010 Average 782 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 553 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 215.06 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.1539

0.1124

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1406, compared to 0.1248 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0158 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1406

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1248

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 0.0150 MDL (High: 0.1328 / Low: 0.1178). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0032 MDL (High: 0.1377 / Low: 0.1345).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0150

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0032

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0060 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0060

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 0.1504) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.1637), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0133 (-8.10%).

2011 Avg (January) 0.1504

2010 Avg (January) 0.1637

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1536	0.1469	0.1504
February	0.1485	0.1447	0.1471
March	0.1449	0.1388	0.1418
April	0.1431	0.1367	0.1388
May	0.1377	0.1345	0.1359
June	0.1358	0.1266	0.1298
July	0.1298	0.1247	0.1279
August	0.1249	0.1197	0.1223
September	0.1239	0.1157	0.1207
October	0.1179	0.1106	0.1159
November	0.1328	0.1178	0.1260
December	0.1410	0.1309	0.1361