2018 KES to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1702 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.1619 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1659 MDL

2018 KES to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the KES to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 20, valuing the pair at 0.1702. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 5, dropping to 0.1619.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0083 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1647 to the December average rate of 0.1681, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.01% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1702 was down 12.84% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.1952, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 851 MDL

2017 Average 892 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 809 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 41.58 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.1687

0.1630

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1649, compared to 0.1669 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0020 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1649

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1669

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0038 MDL (High: 0.1667 / Low: 0.1629). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0020 MDL (High: 0.1649 / Low: 0.1630).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0038

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0020

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0010 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0010

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.1681) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.1666), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0014 (+0.86%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.1681

2017 Avg (December) 0.1666

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1667	0.1629	0.1647
February	0.1656	0.1632	0.1644
March	0.1649	0.1630	0.1638
April	0.1653	0.1619	0.1635
May	0.1674	0.1644	0.1657
June	0.1687	0.1657	0.1670
July	0.1676	0.1648	0.1660
August	0.1669	0.1641	0.1652
September	0.1679	0.1654	0.1667
October	0.1696	0.1670	0.1683
November	0.1690	0.1653	0.1672
December	0.1702	0.1664	0.1681