YEARLY HIGH
0.1642 MDL
YEARLY LOW
0.1549 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1600 MDL

2022 KES to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the KES to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 19, valuing the pair at 0.1642. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.1549.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0092 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1580 to the December average rate of 0.1571, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.60% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 0.1642 was down 2.06% compared to the 2021 peak of 0.1676, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 821 MDL
2021 Average 805 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 775 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 46.20 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

0.1635
0.1565
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1601, compared to 0.1598 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0003 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1601
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1598

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was May, with a trading range of 0.0049 MDL (High: 0.1641 / Low: 0.1591). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0016 MDL (High: 0.1634 / Low: 0.1618).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0049
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0016

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0023 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0023

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2022: 0.1629) against the same month in 2021 (average: 0.1648), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0019 (-1.15%).

2022 Avg (June) 0.1629
2021 Avg (June) 0.1648

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1588 0.1569 0.1580
February 0.1600 0.1566 0.1574
March 0.1613 0.1585 0.1604
April 0.1607 0.1587 0.1595
May 0.1641 0.1591 0.1625
June 0.1642 0.1620 0.1629
July 0.1634 0.1618 0.1626
August 0.1624 0.1601 0.1611
September 0.1620 0.1600 0.1608
October 0.1616 0.1585 0.1599
November 0.1589 0.1565 0.1576
December 0.1597 0.1549 0.1571