YEARLY HIGH
0.1952 MDL
YEARLY LOW
0.1652 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1785 MDL

2017 KES to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the KES to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 7, valuing the pair at 0.1952. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 0.1652.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0300 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1934 to the December average rate of 0.1666, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.84% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 0.1952 was down 3.05% compared to the 2016 peak of 0.2014, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 976 MDL
2016 Average 979 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 826 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 150.23 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

0.1961
0.1639
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1866, compared to 0.1703 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0163 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1866
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1703

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was May, with a trading range of 0.0107 MDL (High: 0.1864 / Low: 0.1757). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0018 MDL (High: 0.1751 / Low: 0.1733).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0107
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0018

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2017. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0072 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0072

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2017: 0.1915) against the same month in 2016 (average: 0.1948), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0034 (-1.72%).

2017 Avg (March) 0.1915
2016 Avg (March) 0.1948

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1949 0.1919 0.1934
February 0.1940 0.1910 0.1925
March 0.1952 0.1882 0.1915
April 0.1893 0.1854 0.1869
May 0.1864 0.1757 0.1797
June 0.1771 0.1743 0.1760
July 0.1751 0.1733 0.1744
August 0.1737 0.1716 0.1726
September 0.1734 0.1701 0.1713
October 0.1707 0.1661 0.1684
November 0.1705 0.1659 0.1687
December 0.1677 0.1652 0.1666