2014 KES to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1734 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.1493 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1593 MDL

2014 KES to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the KES to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 22, valuing the pair at 0.1734. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 7, dropping to 0.1493.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0241 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1528 to the December average rate of 0.1706, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.63% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.1734 was up 12.48% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.1541, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 867 MDL

2013 Average 728 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 746 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 120.41 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.1723

0.1510

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1555, compared to 0.1630 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0075 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1555

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1630

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.0071 MDL (High: 0.1734 / Low: 0.1663). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0023 MDL (High: 0.1602 / Low: 0.1579).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0071

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0023

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0022 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0022

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 0.1706) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.1499), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0207 (+13.81%).

2014 Avg (December) 0.1706

2013 Avg (December) 0.1499

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1556	0.1493	0.1528
February	0.1580	0.1555	0.1565
March	0.1580	0.1533	0.1553
April	0.1556	0.1532	0.1544
May	0.1576	0.1542	0.1553
June	0.1604	0.1572	0.1589
July	0.1602	0.1579	0.1591
August	0.1585	0.1553	0.1569
September	0.1630	0.1585	0.1610
October	0.1654	0.1630	0.1643
November	0.1677	0.1640	0.1662
December	0.1734	0.1663	0.1706