2012 KES to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1493 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.1349 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1432 MDL

2012 KES to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the KES to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 7, valuing the pair at 0.1493. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 5, dropping to 0.1349.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0144 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1369 to the December average rate of 0.1416, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.44% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.1493 was down 2.75% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.1536, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 747 MDL

2011 Average 663 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 675 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 72.07 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.1496

0.1358

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1412, compared to 0.1452 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0040 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1412

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1452

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was June, with a trading range of 0.0068 MDL (High: 0.1464 / Low: 0.1396). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0009 MDL (High: 0.1445 / Low: 0.1436).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0068

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0009

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0027 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0027

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2012: 0.1484) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.1223), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0262 (+21.40%).

2012 Avg (August) 0.1484

2011 Avg (August) 0.1223

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1403	0.1349	0.1369
February	0.1444	0.1415	0.1424
March	0.1449	0.1416	0.1428
April	0.1424	0.1404	0.1415
May	0.1429	0.1385	0.1408
June	0.1464	0.1396	0.1428
July	0.1490	0.1448	0.1471
August	0.1493	0.1476	0.1484
September	0.1478	0.1451	0.1464
October	0.1456	0.1422	0.1438
November	0.1445	0.1436	0.1441
December	0.1441	0.1401	0.1416