2016 KES to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.2014 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.1922 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1959 MDL

2016 KES to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KES to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 25, valuing the pair at 0.2014. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 3, dropping to 0.1922.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0092 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1986 to the December average rate of 0.1969, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.84% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.2014 was down 2.94% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.2075, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,007 MDL

2015 Average 955 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 961 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 45.85 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1991

0.1935

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1960, compared to 0.1958 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0003 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1960

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1958

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0088 MDL (High: 0.2014 / Low: 0.1925). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0010 MDL (High: 0.1955 / Low: 0.1945).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0088

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0010

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0021 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0021

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.1986) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1823), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0163 (+8.94%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.1986

2015 Avg (January) 0.1823

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.2014	0.1925	0.1986
February	0.1985	0.1954	0.1969
March	0.1974	0.1926	0.1948
April	0.1953	0.1922	0.1940
May	0.1987	0.1951	0.1965
June	0.1973	0.1940	0.1955
July	0.1964	0.1942	0.1952
August	0.1952	0.1941	0.1944
September	0.1955	0.1945	0.1949
October	0.1977	0.1941	0.1960
November	0.1989	0.1946	0.1971
December	0.1985	0.1939	0.1969