2015 KES to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.2075 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.1716 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1912 MDL

2015 KES to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the KES to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 21, valuing the pair at 0.2075. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 11, dropping to 0.1716.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0359 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1823 to the December average rate of 0.1930, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.84% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.2075 was up 19.69% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.1734, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,037 MDL

2014 Average 796 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 858 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 179.49 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.2051

0.1802

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1922, compared to 0.1902 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0020 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1922

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1902

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 0.0247 MDL (High: 0.1963 / Low: 0.1716). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0037 MDL (High: 0.1971 / Low: 0.1934).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0247

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0037

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0074 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0074

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2015: 0.2030) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.1565), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0465 (+29.73%).

2015 Avg (February) 0.2030

2014 Avg (February) 0.1565

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1963	0.1716	0.1823
February	0.2075	0.1964	0.2030
March	0.2030	0.1946	0.2002
April	0.1970	0.1885	0.1927
May	0.1913	0.1822	0.1858
June	0.1942	0.1854	0.1890
July	0.1913	0.1834	0.1870
August	0.1886	0.1832	0.1852
September	0.1916	0.1819	0.1869
October	0.1969	0.1901	0.1936
November	0.1971	0.1934	0.1954
December	0.1957	0.1912	0.1930