2013 KES to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1541 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.1373 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1456 MDL

2013 KES to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the KES to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 8, valuing the pair at 0.1541. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 0.1373.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0169 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1395 to the December average rate of 0.1499, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.40% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.1541 was up 3.20% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.1493, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 771 MDL

2012 Average 716 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 686 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 84.35 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.1531

0.1372

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1434, compared to 0.1477 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0043 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1434

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1477

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was July, with a trading range of 0.0081 MDL (High: 0.1464 / Low: 0.1383). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0019 MDL (High: 0.1469 / Low: 0.1451).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0081

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0019

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0025 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0025

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2013: 0.1518) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.1438), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0080 (+5.59%).

2013 Avg (October) 0.1518

2012 Avg (October) 0.1438

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1407	0.1374	0.1395
February	0.1425	0.1373	0.1386
March	0.1452	0.1417	0.1438
April	0.1469	0.1451	0.1464
May	0.1485	0.1456	0.1469
June	0.1468	0.1441	0.1454
July	0.1464	0.1383	0.1429
August	0.1461	0.1429	0.1451
September	0.1495	0.1442	0.1465
October	0.1541	0.1473	0.1518
November	0.1515	0.1493	0.1503
December	0.1521	0.1466	0.1499