2021 KES to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1676 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.1556 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1609 MDL

2021 KES to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the KES to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 14, valuing the pair at 0.1676. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 19, dropping to 0.1556.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0120 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1569 to the December average rate of 0.1569, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.02% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.1676 was down 4.82% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.1761, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 838 MDL

2020 Average 810 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 778 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 59.95 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.1673

0.1560

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1620, compared to 0.1598 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0022 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1620

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1598

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was March, with a trading range of 0.0052 MDL (High: 0.1645 / Low: 0.1592). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0016 MDL (High: 0.1581 / Low: 0.1565).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0052

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0016

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0046 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0046

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2021: 0.1657) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.1703), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0046 (-2.69%).

2021 Avg (April) 0.1657

2020 Avg (April) 0.1703

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1589	0.1558	0.1569
February	0.1599	0.1567	0.1588
March	0.1645	0.1592	0.1614
April	0.1676	0.1640	0.1657
May	0.1669	0.1632	0.1646
June	0.1674	0.1629	0.1648
July	0.1675	0.1640	0.1663
August	0.1646	0.1600	0.1617
September	0.1608	0.1585	0.1597
October	0.1587	0.1556	0.1570
November	0.1581	0.1565	0.1572
December	0.1577	0.1559	0.1569