2011 MDL to BAM Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1301 BAM

YEARLY LOW

0.1152 BAM

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1202 BAM

2011 MDL to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the MDL to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 0.1301. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 2, dropping to 0.1152.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0149 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1203 to the December average rate of 0.1264, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.07% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.1301 was up 1.37% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.1284, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 651 BAM

2010 Average 598 BAM

Yearly Trough Low 576 BAM

Transaction Impact: A difference of 74.45 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.1274

0.1155

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1182, compared to 0.1222 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0040 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1182

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1222

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was December, with a trading range of 0.0072 BAM (High: 0.1301 / Low: 0.1230). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0016 BAM (High: 0.1212 / Low: 0.1196).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0072

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0016

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0027 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0027

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2011: 0.1264) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.1221), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0044 (+3.57%).

2011 Avg (December) 0.1264

2010 Avg (December) 0.1221

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1230	0.1182	0.1203
February	0.1217	0.1182	0.1196
March	0.1195	0.1153	0.1170
April	0.1199	0.1153	0.1165
May	0.1197	0.1152	0.1178
June	0.1200	0.1159	0.1178
July	0.1213	0.1174	0.1192
August	0.1212	0.1196	0.1203
September	0.1245	0.1206	0.1223
October	0.1253	0.1203	0.1220
November	0.1245	0.1218	0.1231
December	0.1301	0.1230	0.1264