YEARLY HIGH
0.1057 BAM
YEARLY LOW
0.0864 BAM
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0942 BAM

2015 MDL to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the MDL to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 0.1057. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 28, dropping to 0.0864.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0193 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1011 to the December average rate of 0.0910, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.03% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.1057 was down 4.83% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.1111, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 528 BAM
2014 Average 527 BAM
Yearly Trough Low 432 BAM
Transaction Impact: A difference of 96.40 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.1025
0.0863
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0975, compared to 0.0908 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0067 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0975
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0908

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 0.0095 BAM (High: 0.1057 / Low: 0.0962). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0026 BAM (High: 0.0893 / Low: 0.0867).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0095
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0026

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0083 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0083

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 0.1011) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.1090), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0079 (-7.21%).

2015 Avg (January) 0.1011
2014 Avg (January) 0.1090

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1057 0.0962 0.1011
February 0.0959 0.0907 0.0928
March 0.1025 0.0947 0.0984
April 0.1042 0.0966 0.1007
May 0.1003 0.0960 0.0979
June 0.0986 0.0901 0.0943
July 0.0957 0.0926 0.0939
August 0.0953 0.0892 0.0925
September 0.0909 0.0864 0.0884
October 0.0893 0.0867 0.0876
November 0.0926 0.0886 0.0913
December 0.0929 0.0896 0.0910