2013 MDL to BAM Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1239 BAM

YEARLY LOW

0.1086 BAM

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1177 BAM

2013 MDL to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MDL to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 0.1239. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 0.1086.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0153 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1214 to the December average rate of 0.1104, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.06% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.1239 was down 5.63% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.1313, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 620 BAM

2012 Average 630 BAM

Yearly Trough Low 543 BAM

Transaction Impact: A difference of 76.66 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.1236

0.1092

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1214, compared to 0.1140 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0074 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1214

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1140

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was September, with a trading range of 0.0045 BAM (High: 0.1164 / Low: 0.1119). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0016 BAM (High: 0.1232 / Low: 0.1217).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0045

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0016

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0047 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0047

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 0.1214) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.1287), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0073 (-5.67%).

2013 Avg (January) 0.1214

2012 Avg (January) 0.1287

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1239	0.1197	0.1214
February	0.1219	0.1193	0.1209
March	0.1232	0.1217	0.1224
April	0.1232	0.1210	0.1219
May	0.1238	0.1202	0.1221
June	0.1208	0.1184	0.1195
July	0.1223	0.1188	0.1205
August	0.1173	0.1148	0.1158
September	0.1164	0.1119	0.1144
October	0.1128	0.1100	0.1109
November	0.1133	0.1096	0.1120
December	0.1129	0.1086	0.1104