2012 MOP to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

193.2632 BIF

YEARLY LOW

160.1944 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

175.6556 BIF

2012 MOP to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the MOP to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 193.2632. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 8, dropping to 160.1944.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 33.0689 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 162.4055 to the December average rate of 190.9946, the exchange rate registered a net change of 17.60% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 193.2632 was up 17.29% compared to the 2011 peak of 164.7749, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 966,316 BIF

2011 Average 754,332 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 800,972 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 165,344.29 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

193.8582

159.4950

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 166.9992, compared to 184.3121 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 17.3129 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 166.9992

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 184.3121

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was April, with a trading range of 12.7563 BIF (High: 172.9506 / Low: 160.1944). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.8732 BIF (High: 181.5966 / Low: 179.7234).

April Spread (Volatile) ±12.7563

August Spread (Stable) ±1.8732

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.4582 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4582

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 190.9946) against the same month in 2011 (average: 160.8454), the exchange rate shifted by +30.1491 (+18.74%).

2012 Avg (December) 190.9946

2011 Avg (December) 160.8454

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	165.3931	160.7564	162.4055
February	163.7413	161.0569	162.8168
March	163.5486	160.4561	162.3586
April	172.9506	160.1944	164.5472
May	176.6824	170.3181	174.0390
June	177.7584	174.4762	175.8279
July	181.7005	176.0672	178.6493
August	181.5966	179.7234	180.6925
September	185.5975	179.8086	182.3921
October	186.5844	183.6053	185.7884
November	190.6248	184.1328	187.3558
December	193.2632	187.3739	190.9946