2015 MOP to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

205.7249 BIF

YEARLY LOW

192.3990 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

196.1703 BIF

2015 MOP to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the MOP to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 11, valuing the pair at 205.7249. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 192.3990.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 13.3260 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 196.0343 to the December average rate of 195.1379, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.46% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 205.7249 was up 4.01% compared to the 2014 peak of 197.7970, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,028,625 BIF

2014 Average 971,659 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 961,995 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 66,629.85 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

202.4645

194.1312

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 196.2323, compared to 196.1084 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1238 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 196.2323

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 196.1084

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 11.0593 BIF (High: 205.7249 / Low: 194.6656). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.4835 BIF (High: 197.5456 / Low: 195.0621).

July Spread (Volatile) ±11.0593

February Spread (Stable) ±2.4835

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 6.9445 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -6.9445

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2015: 201.7701) against the same month in 2014 (average: 194.0017), the exchange rate shifted by +7.7684 (+4.00%).

2015 Avg (July) 201.7701

2014 Avg (July) 194.0017

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	197.3514	194.3981	196.0343
February	197.5456	195.0621	196.3277
March	197.5880	194.0229	196.1069
April	197.7665	194.5048	196.5260
May	197.7893	194.9676	196.2266
June	199.3458	194.8419	196.1720
July	205.7249	194.6656	201.7701
August	196.6885	193.5710	194.8256
September	196.7971	192.6996	194.8581
October	196.7074	193.0340	195.1319
November	196.4041	193.5222	194.9269
December	197.7529	192.3990	195.1379