2018 MOP to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

226.8444 BIF

YEARLY LOW

217.1267 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

220.2286 BIF

2018 MOP to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 14, valuing the pair at 226.8444. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 10, dropping to 217.1267.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.7177 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 218.9519 to the December average rate of 224.3027, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.44% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 226.8444 was up 3.02% compared to the 2017 peak of 220.1854, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,134,222 BIF

2017 Average 1,073,457 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 1,085,633 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 48,588.50 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

224.8581

218.1931

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 219.0721, compared to 221.3851 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.3130 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 219.0721

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 221.3851

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 5.4244 BIF (High: 226.8444 / Low: 221.4200). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.2075 BIF (High: 220.9964 / Low: 218.7889).

December Spread (Volatile) ±5.4244

August Spread (Stable) ±2.2075

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.2793 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2793

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 224.3027) against the same month in 2017 (average: 218.5149), the exchange rate shifted by +5.7878 (+2.65%).

2018 Avg (December) 224.3027

2017 Avg (December) 218.5149

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	221.1860	217.8525	218.9519
February	220.3579	217.9296	219.0279
March	220.6014	217.5046	218.7485
April	220.5396	217.9689	219.1921
May	221.4368	217.4350	219.1364
June	221.0005	217.1267	219.3758
July	220.9551	217.2407	219.1455
August	220.9964	218.7889	219.6840
September	222.0278	218.9371	219.9319
October	224.6535	219.8427	221.9521
November	225.3912	220.8958	223.2942
December	226.8444	221.4200	224.3027