YEARLY HIGH
370.6221 BIF
YEARLY LOW
356.0227 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
368.5122 BIF

2026 MOP to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 16, valuing the pair at 370.6221. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 9, dropping to 356.0227.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 14.5994 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 368.6075 to the December average rate of 369.0256, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.11% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 370.6221 was down 0.87% compared to the 2025 peak of 373.8640, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,853,110 BIF
2025 Average 1,841,797 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 1,780,114 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 72,996.79 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

369.4440
367.3248
JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 368.4267, compared to 369.0256 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5990 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 368.4267
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 369.0256

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 13.5334 BIF (High: 369.5561 / Low: 356.0227). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1309 BIF (High: 368.7597 / Low: 368.6289).

March Spread (Volatile) ±13.5334
May Spread (Stable) ±0.1309

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.5892 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5892

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2026: 369.2674) against the same month in 2025 (average: 366.1849), the exchange rate shifted by +3.0826 (+0.84%).

2026 Avg (June) 369.2674
2025 Avg (June) 366.1849

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 369.2392 366.9321 368.6075
February 368.9510 366.7670 368.0906
March 369.5561 356.0227 367.5014
April 368.8928 367.6351 368.3767
May 368.7597 368.6289 368.7163
June 370.6221 367.6745 369.2674
July 369.8271 368.1552 369.0256