YEARLY HIGH
198.1406 BIF
YEARLY LOW
188.3252 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
194.0026 BIF

2013 MOP to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MOP to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 4, valuing the pair at 198.1406. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 8, dropping to 188.3252.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.8154 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 190.0797 to the December average rate of 193.6410, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.87% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 198.1406 was up 2.52% compared to the 2012 peak of 193.2632, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 990,703 BIF
2012 Average 878,527 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 941,626 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 49,076.86 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

197.2585
189.4271
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 194.7318, compared to 193.2734 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.4584 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 194.7318
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 193.2734

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 8.9512 BIF (High: 197.3310 / Low: 188.3798). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9765 BIF (High: 194.2676 / Low: 193.2912).

March Spread (Volatile) ±8.9512
November Spread (Stable) ±0.9765

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 1.8435 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.8435

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2013: 196.6058) against the same month in 2012 (average: 164.5472), the exchange rate shifted by +32.0586 (+19.48%).

2013 Avg (April) 196.6058
2012 Avg (April) 164.5472

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 195.8607 188.3252 190.0797
February 197.2074 193.3861 196.0318
March 197.3310 188.3798 194.8039
April 198.1406 195.3181 196.6058
May 197.0697 194.2615 196.3565
June 195.6369 193.3173 194.5131
July 195.0662 192.1041 193.5429
August 192.7807 191.7589 192.4881
September 193.8680 192.0951 192.8572
October 193.9741 191.9466 193.1591
November 194.2676 193.2912 193.9522
December 194.6319 192.9869 193.6410