YEARLY HIGH
373.8640 BIF
YEARLY LOW
362.0608 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
368.3647 BIF

2025 MOP to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the MOP to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 30, valuing the pair at 373.8640. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 20, dropping to 362.0608.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 11.8032 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 367.8538 to the December average rate of 369.1846, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.36% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 373.8640 was up 1.06% compared to the 2024 peak of 369.9417, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,869,320 BIF
2024 Average 1,794,792 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 1,810,304 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 59,016.10 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

370.8143
365.7640
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 368.1994, compared to 368.5301 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3307 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 368.1994
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 368.5301

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was March, with a trading range of 10.1729 BIF (High: 373.8640 / Low: 363.6911). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.6754 BIF (High: 370.1332 / Low: 368.4578).

March Spread (Volatile) ±10.1729
December Spread (Stable) ±1.6754

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 3.1200 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.1200

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2025: 369.0210) against the same month in 2024 (average: 355.1837), the exchange rate shifted by +13.8373 (+3.90%).

2025 Avg (March) 369.0210
2024 Avg (March) 355.1837

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 370.5178 363.5027 367.8538
February 370.4226 364.0179 368.4697
March 373.8640 363.6911 369.0210
April 372.1786 366.6080 370.3934
May 369.6569 364.7768 367.2734
June 368.9851 363.6080 366.1849
July 369.5923 362.0608 366.5274
August 371.5164 363.1920 368.4247
September 372.6427 365.7077 370.1276
October 372.3064 366.4789 368.5010
November 370.8579 365.1959 368.4152
December 370.1332 368.4578 369.1846