2019 MOP to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

235.0536 BIF

YEARLY LOW

221.1059 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

228.2390 BIF

2019 MOP to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MOP to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 27, valuing the pair at 235.0536. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 26, dropping to 221.1059.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 13.9477 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 223.4871 to the December average rate of 233.6061, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.53% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 235.0536 was up 3.62% compared to the 2018 peak of 226.8444, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,175,268 BIF

2018 Average 1,101,180 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 1,105,530 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 69,738.49 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

234.6180

222.4752

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 225.9622, compared to 230.5158 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 4.5536 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 225.9622

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 230.5158

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 4.2258 BIF (High: 225.3317 / Low: 221.1059). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0868 BIF (High: 227.0864 / Low: 225.9996).

January Spread (Volatile) ±4.2258

April Spread (Stable) ±1.0868

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.5084 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5084

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 233.6061) against the same month in 2018 (average: 224.3027), the exchange rate shifted by +9.3034 (+4.15%).

2019 Avg (December) 233.6061

2018 Avg (December) 224.3027

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	225.3317	221.1059	223.4871
February	226.5669	222.4485	224.3750
March	227.0709	223.3406	225.1859
April	227.0864	225.9996	226.7108
May	229.0213	226.7542	227.2995
June	230.4793	227.2673	228.7151
July	230.1008	228.1178	229.0577
August	229.6610	228.0454	228.5493
September	230.8657	228.3052	229.5751
October	231.6919	228.8154	230.0770
November	232.8312	231.2387	232.2298
December	235.0536	232.3345	233.6061