YEARLY HIGH
355.2392 BIF
YEARLY LOW
255.2354 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
315.8538 BIF

2023 MOP to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the MOP to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 24, valuing the pair at 355.2392. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 24, dropping to 255.2354.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 100.0038 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 256.8712 to the December average rate of 353.9808, the exchange rate registered a net change of 37.80% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 355.2392 was up 37.34% compared to the 2022 peak of 258.6636, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,776,196 BIF
2022 Average 1,265,983 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 1,276,177 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 500,018.81 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

363.7301
246.7389
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 279.2006, compared to 352.5069 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 73.3063 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 279.2006
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 352.5069

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was May, with a trading range of 92.9405 BIF (High: 350.4069 / Low: 257.4664). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.8923 BIF (High: 258.3178 / Low: 256.4255).

May Spread (Volatile) ±92.9405
April Spread (Stable) ±1.8923

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.3831 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3831

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2023: 353.5427) against the same month in 2022 (average: 255.6982), the exchange rate shifted by +97.8445 (+38.27%).

2023 Avg (November) 353.5427
2022 Avg (November) 255.6982

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 257.8205 255.4956 256.8712
February 257.5122 255.2354 256.4882
March 258.0521 256.1348 257.1853
April 258.3178 256.4255 257.4292
May 350.4069 257.4664 296.4902
June 352.7183 349.3996 350.7397
July 353.3862 349.8781 351.8093
August 354.7775 350.1459 351.6439
September 353.1371 350.2711 351.7069
October 354.0925 351.2872 352.3578
November 355.2392 349.6440 353.5427
December 355.1864 353.2164 353.9808