YEARLY HIGH
18.9063 UGX
YEARLY LOW
14.5516 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
16.1898 UGX

2011 NGN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the NGN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 25, valuing the pair at 18.9063. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 14.5516.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.3548 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 15.2642 to the December average rate of 15.0927, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.12% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 18.9063 was up 23.35% compared to the 2010 peak of 15.3272, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,906,324 UGX
2010 Average 14,424,759 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 14,551,564 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,354,759.74 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

18.3071
14.8004
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 15.4127, compared to 16.9670 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.5543 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 15.4127
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 16.9670

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 2.1004 UGX (High: 17.4045 / Low: 15.3041). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2013 UGX (High: 15.4062 / Low: 15.2049).

June Spread (Volatile) ±2.1004
May Spread (Stable) ±0.2013

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 1.2672 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.2672

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2011: 17.9373) against the same month in 2010 (average: 14.8040), the exchange rate shifted by +3.1333 (+21.17%).

2011 Avg (August) 17.9373
2010 Avg (August) 14.8040

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 15.6926 15.0250 15.2642
February 15.5525 15.1334 15.3522
March 15.5617 15.3067 15.4611
April 15.5173 15.0014 15.3408
May 15.4062 15.2049 15.3083
June 17.4045 15.3041 15.7495
July 17.2156 16.6204 17.0035
August 18.9063 17.0992 17.9373
September 18.3021 17.6860 18.0149
October 17.9969 16.1366 17.5104
November 16.7650 15.7112 16.2432
December 15.8203 14.5516 15.0927