YEARLY HIGH
2.5380 UGX
YEARLY LOW
2.1893 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.3675 UGX

2025 NGN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the NGN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 13, valuing the pair at 2.5380. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 2.1893.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3487 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.3764 to the December average rate of 2.4603, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.53% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 2.5380 was down 42.86% compared to the 2024 peak of 4.4416, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,538,004 UGX
2024 Average 2,640,441 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,189,308 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 348,695.97 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

2.4868
2.2694
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.3526, compared to 2.3825 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0299 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.3526
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.3825

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was February, with a trading range of 0.2723 UGX (High: 2.4616 / Low: 2.1893). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0122 UGX (High: 2.3493 / Low: 2.3371).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.2723
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0122

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0813 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0813

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2025: 2.4687) against the same month in 2024 (average: 2.1973), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2714 (+12.35%).

2025 Avg (November) 2.4687
2024 Avg (November) 2.1973

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.3996 2.3622 2.3764
February 2.4616 2.1893 2.4074
March 2.4513 2.3573 2.4007
April 2.4463 2.2761 2.3194
May 2.3048 2.2791 2.2875
June 2.3383 2.2905 2.3239
July 2.3493 2.3371 2.3429
August 2.3481 2.3068 2.3239
September 2.3531 2.2946 2.3331
October 2.4093 2.3331 2.3660
November 2.5380 2.4029 2.4687
December 2.5053 2.4383 2.4603