2013 NGN to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

17.3441 UGX

YEARLY LOW

15.6038 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

16.2469 UGX

2013 NGN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the NGN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 17.3441. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 15.6038.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7403 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 17.1099 to the December average rate of 15.7899, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.71% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 17.3441 was up 0.77% compared to the 2012 peak of 17.2111, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,344,078 UGX

2012 Average 15,784,740 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 15,603,796 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,740,282.68 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

17.2419

15.6579

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 16.5806, compared to 15.9132 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6674 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 16.5806

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 15.9132

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was April, with a trading range of 0.5468 UGX (High: 16.5317 / Low: 15.9848). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1614 UGX (High: 16.1516 / Low: 15.9902).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.5468

July Spread (Stable) ±0.1614

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.3520 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3520

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 17.1099) against the same month in 2012 (average: 14.9499), the exchange rate shifted by +2.1599 (+14.45%).

2013 Avg (January) 17.1099

2012 Avg (January) 14.9499

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	17.3441	16.9382	17.1099
February	17.0548	16.7656	16.8902
March	16.8290	16.3463	16.6396
April	16.5317	15.9848	16.2877
May	16.4888	16.1878	16.3637
June	16.3883	15.9763	16.1929
July	16.1516	15.9902	16.0667
August	16.1502	15.8822	16.0218
September	16.0182	15.7629	15.8637
October	15.9299	15.7229	15.8497
November	16.0054	15.8061	15.8878
December	15.9634	15.6038	15.7899