2016 NGN to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

17.4838 UGX

YEARLY LOW

9.6791 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

13.9165 UGX

2016 NGN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the NGN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 17.4838. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 22, dropping to 9.6791.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.8047 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 17.3064 to the December average rate of 11.4372, the exchange rate registered a net change of -33.91% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 17.4838 was down 5.81% compared to the 2015 peak of 18.5618, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,483,844 UGX

2015 Average 16,360,977 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 9,679,119 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,804,725.19 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

17.9902

9.7841

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 16.7351, compared to 11.0979 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 5.6372 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 16.7351

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.0979

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 5.0263 UGX (High: 16.9188 / Low: 11.8925). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1532 UGX (High: 10.8860 / Low: 10.7328).

June Spread (Volatile) ±5.0263

September Spread (Stable) ±0.1532

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 3.8194 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.8194

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 17.3064) against the same month in 2015 (average: 15.3348), the exchange rate shifted by +1.9716 (+12.86%).

2016 Avg (January) 17.3064

2015 Avg (January) 15.3348

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	17.4838	16.9550	17.3064
February	17.4746	16.8548	17.2287
March	16.9680	16.7998	16.8945
April	16.9364	16.6209	16.7903
May	17.0077	16.6598	16.7986
June	16.9188	11.8925	15.3920
July	12.0471	10.5530	11.5726
August	10.8181	9.6791	10.4679
September	10.8860	10.7328	10.8024
October	11.0369	10.7685	10.9611
November	11.5468	11.0666	11.3464
December	11.8288	11.2076	11.4372