YEARLY HIGH
9.3605 UGX
YEARLY LOW
8.1373 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.7109 UGX

2022 NGN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the NGN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 6, valuing the pair at 9.3605. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 8.1373.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2233 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.5292 to the December average rate of 8.2792, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.93% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 9.3605 was down 3.72% compared to the 2021 peak of 9.7217, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,360,511 UGX
2021 Average 8,903,137 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 8,137,251 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,223,260.60 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

9.1959
8.1958
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.6484, compared to 8.7735 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1251 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.6484
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.7735

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was May, with a trading range of 0.5641 UGX (High: 9.0975 / Low: 8.5333). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1350 UGX (High: 8.5329 / Low: 8.3979).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.5641
February Spread (Stable) ±0.1350

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.2703 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2703

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2022: 9.1125) against the same month in 2021 (average: 8.5964), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5161 (+6.00%).

2022 Avg (August) 9.1125
2021 Avg (August) 8.5964

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.6180 8.4354 8.5292
February 8.5329 8.3979 8.4486
March 8.7101 8.4838 8.6323
April 8.6153 8.4714 8.5308
May 9.0975 8.5333 8.7378
June 9.1547 8.8899 9.0117
July 9.2956 8.8551 9.0554
August 9.3605 8.8770 9.1125
September 9.0291 8.7787 8.9175
October 8.9112 8.6399 8.7732
November 8.6348 8.4189 8.5029
December 8.4241 8.1373 8.2792