2018 NGN to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

10.8551 UGX

YEARLY LOW

10.0669 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.3136 UGX

2018 NGN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the NGN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 26, valuing the pair at 10.8551. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 13, dropping to 10.0669.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7882 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.1065 to the December average rate of 10.2030, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.96% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 10.8551 was down 9.19% compared to the 2017 peak of 11.9543, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,855,142 UGX

2017 Average 10,881,781 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 10,066,898 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 788,244.67 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

10.7097

10.0402

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.2712, compared to 10.3560 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0847 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.2712

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.3560

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.6333 UGX (High: 10.8380 / Low: 10.2047). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0716 UGX (High: 10.1463 / Low: 10.0747).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.6333

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0716

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.2375 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2375

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 10.6539) against the same month in 2017 (average: 11.2828), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6288 (-5.57%).

2018 Avg (June) 10.6539

2017 Avg (June) 11.2828

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.1463	10.0747	10.1065
February	10.1685	10.0669	10.0960
March	10.2542	10.1037	10.1499
April	10.3301	10.2417	10.2726
May	10.4771	10.3032	10.3485
June	10.8551	10.4635	10.6539
July	10.8380	10.2047	10.4164
August	10.4219	10.2016	10.3326
September	10.5658	10.3932	10.5015
October	10.5166	10.3348	10.3999
November	10.3543	10.1709	10.2823
December	10.2715	10.1376	10.2030