2012 NGN to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

17.2111 UGX

YEARLY LOW

14.4124 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

15.7809 UGX

2012 NGN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the NGN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 17.2111. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 7, dropping to 14.4124.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.7988 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.9499 to the December average rate of 17.0091, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.77% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 17.2111 was down 8.97% compared to the 2011 peak of 18.9063, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,211,107 UGX

2011 Average 16,195,108 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 14,412,353 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,798,754.01 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

17.2369

14.5034

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 15.3816, compared to 16.1802 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7985 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 15.3816

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 16.1802

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was February, with a trading range of 1.1135 UGX (High: 15.5258 / Low: 14.4124). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2582 UGX (High: 16.5348 / Low: 16.2767).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.1135

October Spread (Stable) ±0.2582

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.3322 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3322

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 17.0091) against the same month in 2011 (average: 15.0927), the exchange rate shifted by +1.9164 (+12.70%).

2012 Avg (December) 17.0091

2011 Avg (December) 15.0927

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	15.3757	14.4126	14.9499
February	15.5258	14.4124	14.7312
March	16.2412	15.4922	15.7418
April	16.0053	15.7310	15.8958
May	15.9338	15.5127	15.6517
June	15.6172	15.1879	15.3195
July	15.6291	15.1573	15.3428
August	15.9587	15.3582	15.7027
September	16.2341	15.8248	15.9654
October	16.5348	16.2767	16.4220
November	17.1155	16.4340	16.6391
December	17.2111	16.8087	17.0091