YEARLY HIGH
18.5618 UGX
YEARLY LOW
14.0613 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
16.3492 UGX

2015 NGN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the NGN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 2, valuing the pair at 18.5618. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 14.0613.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.5005 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 15.3348 to the December average rate of 16.8936, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.16% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 18.5618 was up 13.02% compared to the 2014 peak of 16.4233, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,561,788 UGX
2014 Average 15,738,409 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 14,061,305 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,500,482.99 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

18.8008
14.0922
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 15.1249, compared to 17.5734 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.4485 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 15.1249
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 17.5734

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 1.3541 UGX (High: 17.7530 / Low: 16.3988). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1601 UGX (High: 18.5065 / Low: 18.3464).

July Spread (Volatile) ±1.3541
September Spread (Stable) ±0.1601

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 1.0816 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0816

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 18.2892) against the same month in 2014 (average: 16.2434), the exchange rate shifted by +2.0458 (+12.59%).

2015 Avg (October) 18.2892
2014 Avg (October) 16.2434

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 15.8548 14.8680 15.3348
February 15.1489 14.0613 14.4845
March 15.1611 14.2681 14.7614
April 15.1056 14.9418 15.0421
May 15.3567 15.0301 15.1103
June 16.5765 15.4066 16.0161
July 17.7530 16.3988 16.8344
August 18.3498 17.2227 17.8074
September 18.5065 18.3464 18.4084
October 18.5618 17.7569 18.2892
November 17.8520 16.8443 17.2076
December 17.3592 16.6109 16.8936