YEARLY HIGH
16.4233 UGX
YEARLY LOW
14.8429 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
15.7340 UGX

2014 NGN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the NGN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 13, valuing the pair at 16.4233. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 22, dropping to 14.8429.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.5804 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 15.6209 to the December average rate of 15.1974, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.71% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 16.4233 was down 5.31% compared to the 2013 peak of 17.3441, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,423,344 UGX
2013 Average 16,243,732 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 14,842,933 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,580,411.19 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

16.3611
14.9482
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 15.5129, compared to 15.9552 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4424 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 15.5129
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 15.9552

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 0.7971 UGX (High: 16.3395 / Low: 15.5424). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2404 UGX (High: 15.6835 / Low: 15.4431).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.7971
April Spread (Stable) ±0.2404

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.7230 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7230

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2014: 16.2148) against the same month in 2013 (average: 16.0667), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1481 (+0.92%).

2014 Avg (July) 16.2148
2013 Avg (July) 16.0667

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 15.8997 15.2044 15.6209
February 15.2755 14.8429 15.0659
March 15.5669 15.2376 15.3733
April 15.6835 15.4431 15.5775
May 15.8900 15.5253 15.6425
June 16.0311 15.6458 15.7970
July 16.4233 15.9648 16.2148
August 16.2679 16.0078 16.1066
September 16.1946 15.9229 16.0487
October 16.4005 16.0537 16.2434
November 16.3395 15.5424 15.9204
December 15.4476 14.8963 15.1974