YEARLY HIGH
8.3279 UGX
YEARLY LOW
4.2161 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.2941 UGX

2023 NGN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the NGN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 8.3279. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 4.2161.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.1118 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.1218 to the December average rate of 4.6773, the exchange rate registered a net change of -42.41% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 8.3279 was down 11.03% compared to the 2022 peak of 9.3605, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,327,916 UGX
2022 Average 8,712,761 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 4,216,079 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,111,837.27 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

8.4741
4.3321
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.8320, compared to 4.7561 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.0758 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.8320
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.7561

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was June, with a trading range of 3.6708 UGX (High: 8.1363 / Low: 4.4655). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1525 UGX (High: 8.1889 / Low: 8.0364).

June Spread (Volatile) ±3.6708
April Spread (Stable) ±0.1525

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.8272 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.8272

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 8.1218) against the same month in 2022 (average: 8.5292), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4074 (-4.78%).

2023 Avg (January) 8.1218
2022 Avg (January) 8.5292

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.3279 7.9914 8.1218
February 8.1073 7.9484 8.0088
March 8.2345 8.0391 8.1289
April 8.1889 8.0364 8.1147
May 8.1962 8.0225 8.0779
June 8.1363 4.4655 6.5398
July 4.8274 4.5945 4.7125
August 4.9103 4.6316 4.7964
September 4.9983 4.7337 4.8312
October 4.9176 4.2501 4.8011
November 4.8394 4.5684 4.7184
December 4.9309 4.2161 4.6773