2012 RSD to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.2351 DJF

YEARLY LOW

1.8217 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.0346 DJF

2012 RSD to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the RSD to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 2.2351. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 24, dropping to 1.8217.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4134 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.1922 to the December average rate of 2.0575, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.14% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 2.2351 was down 16.46% compared to the 2011 peak of 2.6755, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,176 DJF

2011 Average 12,182 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 9,109 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,067.15 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

2.2242

1.8397

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.0974, compared to 1.9717 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1256 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.0974

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.9717

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.2397 DJF (High: 2.1255 / Low: 1.8858). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0476 DJF (High: 2.1591 / Low: 2.1115).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.2397

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0476

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0918 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0918

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 2.1826) against the same month in 2011 (average: 2.3516), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1689 (-7.18%).

2012 Avg (February) 2.1826

2011 Avg (February) 2.3516

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.2218	2.1638	2.1922
February	2.2351	2.1555	2.1826
March	2.1591	2.1115	2.1321
April	2.1441	2.0946	2.1139
May	2.1255	1.8858	2.0221
June	1.9814	1.8903	1.9415
July	1.9506	1.8217	1.8781
August	1.9049	1.8338	1.8717
September	2.0210	1.8930	1.9722
October	2.0892	1.9837	2.0287
November	2.0602	2.0036	2.0222
December	2.0840	2.0138	2.0575