2015 RSD to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7823 DJF

YEARLY LOW

1.5503 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6340 DJF

2015 RSD to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the RSD to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 1.7823. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 2, dropping to 1.5503.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2320 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6902 to the December average rate of 1.5894, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.96% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 1.7823 was down 17.32% compared to the 2014 peak of 2.1558, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,912 DJF

2014 Average 10,122 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 7,752 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,159.97 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

1.7012

1.5687

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6413, compared to 1.6267 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0146 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6413

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6267

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 0.1666 DJF (High: 1.7823 / Low: 1.6158). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0365 DJF (High: 1.6820 / Low: 1.6455).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1666

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0365

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0799 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0799

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 1.6902) against the same month in 2014 (average: 2.1012), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4110 (-19.56%).

2015 Avg (January) 1.6902

2014 Avg (January) 2.1012

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.7823	1.6158	1.6902
February	1.6839	1.6283	1.6665
March	1.6525	1.5625	1.5999
April	1.6523	1.5756	1.5981
May	1.6838	1.5973	1.6422
June	1.6707	1.6067	1.6508
July	1.6474	1.6006	1.6256
August	1.7046	1.6130	1.6459
September	1.6820	1.6455	1.6598
October	1.6952	1.6119	1.6596
November	1.6249	1.5507	1.5797
December	1.6049	1.5503	1.5894