2017 RSD to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.8128 DJF

YEARLY LOW

1.5003 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6665 DJF

2017 RSD to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the RSD to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 1.8128. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 1.5003.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3125 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5352 to the December average rate of 1.7799, the exchange rate registered a net change of 15.94% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 1.8128 was up 8.75% compared to the 2016 peak of 1.6669, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,064 DJF

2016 Average 7,991 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 7,502 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,562.30 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

1.8112

1.5101

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5704, compared to 1.7626 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1923 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5704

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7626

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was July, with a trading range of 0.0786 DJF (High: 1.7575 / Low: 1.6789). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0311 DJF (High: 1.5549 / Low: 1.5238).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0786

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0311

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0236 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0236

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2017: 1.7799) against the same month in 2016 (average: 1.5251), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2549 (+16.71%).

2017 Avg (December) 1.7799

2016 Avg (December) 1.5251

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.5586	1.5003	1.5352
February	1.5549	1.5238	1.5365
March	1.5664	1.5210	1.5445
April	1.5838	1.5293	1.5498
May	1.6427	1.5776	1.6091
June	1.6947	1.6310	1.6472
July	1.7575	1.6789	1.7131
August	1.7974	1.7465	1.7659
September	1.8031	1.7582	1.7861
October	1.7773	1.7398	1.7626
November	1.7878	1.7464	1.7683
December	1.8128	1.7559	1.7799