2021 RSD to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.8672 DJF

YEARLY LOW

1.6965 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.7913 DJF

2021 RSD to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the RSD to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 1.8672. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 24, dropping to 1.6965.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1706 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.8410 to the December average rate of 1.7118, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.02% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1.8672 was up 0.24% compared to the 2020 peak of 1.8627, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,336 DJF

2020 Average 8,643 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 8,483 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 853.20 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

1.8539

1.6989

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.8240, compared to 1.7586 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0654 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.8240

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7586

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 0.0601 DJF (High: 1.7566 / Low: 1.6965). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0185 DJF (High: 1.7199 / Low: 1.7014).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0601

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0185

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0341 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0341

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 1.8410) against the same month in 2020 (average: 1.6813), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1596 (+9.49%).

2021 Avg (January) 1.8410

2020 Avg (January) 1.6813

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.8672	1.8271	1.8410
February	1.8423	1.8135	1.8307
March	1.8263	1.7762	1.8017
April	1.8353	1.7770	1.8078
May	1.8543	1.8139	1.8382
June	1.8503	1.8011	1.8246
July	1.8064	1.7815	1.7905
August	1.8020	1.7685	1.7825
September	1.7975	1.7519	1.7835
October	1.7655	1.7465	1.7571
November	1.7566	1.6965	1.7265
December	1.7199	1.7014	1.7118