YEARLY HIGH
1.7046 DJF
YEARLY LOW
1.5885 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6407 DJF

2023 RSD to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the RSD to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 14, valuing the pair at 1.7046. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 3, dropping to 1.5885.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1161 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6337 to the December average rate of 1.6594, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.57% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 1.7046 was down 1.74% compared to the 2022 peak of 1.7349, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,523 DJF
2022 Average 7,986 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 7,943 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 580.71 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

1.6833
1.5952
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6393, compared to 1.6422 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0029 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6393
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6422

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was February, with a trading range of 0.0681 DJF (High: 1.6665 / Low: 1.5984). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0303 DJF (High: 1.6188 / Low: 1.5885).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0681
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0303

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0345 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0345

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2023: 1.6760) against the same month in 2022 (average: 1.5456), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1304 (+8.44%).

2023 Avg (July) 1.6760
2022 Avg (July) 1.5456

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.6537 1.5914 1.6337
February 1.6665 1.5984 1.6234
March 1.6529 1.5994 1.6228
April 1.6764 1.6433 1.6616
May 1.6794 1.6222 1.6481
June 1.6678 1.6230 1.6461
July 1.7046 1.6467 1.6760
August 1.6713 1.6393 1.6550
September 1.6364 1.5957 1.6205
October 1.6188 1.5885 1.6026
November 1.6704 1.6086 1.6394
December 1.6879 1.6357 1.6594