2019 RSD to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.7377 DJF

YEARLY LOW

1.4204 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.6909 DJF

2019 RSD to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the RSD to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 1.7377. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 22, dropping to 1.4204.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3173 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7082 to the December average rate of 1.6830, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1.7377 was down 7.66% compared to the 2018 peak of 1.8819, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,688 DJF

2018 Average 8,881 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 7,102 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,586.29 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1.7135

1.6637

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7020, compared to 1.6798 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0223 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7020

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6798

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.3173 DJF (High: 1.7377 / Low: 1.4204). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0164 DJF (High: 1.6961 / Low: 1.6797).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.3173

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0164

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0144 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0144

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 1.7082) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1.8383), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1301 (-7.08%).

2019 Avg (January) 1.7082

2018 Avg (January) 1.8383

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.7377	1.4204	1.7082
February	1.7228	1.6971	1.7094
March	1.7257	1.6877	1.7047
April	1.7073	1.6809	1.6952
May	1.6961	1.6797	1.6889
June	1.7218	1.6863	1.7059
July	1.7074	1.6745	1.6956
August	1.7004	1.6626	1.6823
September	1.6828	1.6547	1.6679
October	1.6907	1.6563	1.6754
November	1.6930	1.6655	1.6746
December	1.6984	1.6679	1.6830