2018 RSD to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.8819 DJF

YEARLY LOW

1.6983 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.7767 DJF

2018 RSD to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RSD to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 1.8819. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 27, dropping to 1.6983.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1836 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.8383 to the December average rate of 1.7125, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.84% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.8819 was up 3.81% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.8128, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,409 DJF

2017 Average 8,337 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 8,492 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 917.85 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.8673

1.6965

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.8189, compared to 1.7345 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0844 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.8189

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7345

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0702 DJF (High: 1.8689 / Low: 1.7987). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0191 DJF (High: 1.7726 / Low: 1.7535).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0702

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0191

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0597 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0597

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 1.8531) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.5365), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3166 (+20.61%).

2018 Avg (February) 1.8531

2017 Avg (February) 1.5365

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.8689	1.7987	1.8383
February	1.8819	1.8294	1.8531
March	1.8627	1.8311	1.8473
April	1.8554	1.8079	1.8370
May	1.8079	1.7390	1.7774
June	1.7795	1.7427	1.7603
July	1.7726	1.7535	1.7630
August	1.7626	1.7118	1.7398
September	1.7744	1.7385	1.7541
October	1.7449	1.7027	1.7269
November	1.7233	1.6983	1.7107
December	1.7255	1.6992	1.7125