YEARLY HIGH
1.7349 DJF
YEARLY LOW
1.4558 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.5978 DJF

2022 RSD to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the RSD to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 7, valuing the pair at 1.7349. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 27, dropping to 1.4558.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2791 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7127 to the December average rate of 1.6058, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 1.7349 was down 7.08% compared to the 2021 peak of 1.8672, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,675 DJF
2021 Average 8,955 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 7,279 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,395.48 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

1.7389
1.4686
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6569, compared to 1.5388 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1180 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6569
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5388

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was November, with a trading range of 0.1031 DJF (High: 1.5814 / Low: 1.4782). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0357 DJF (High: 1.6219 / Low: 1.5862).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1031
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0357

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0585 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0585

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2022: 1.7164) against the same month in 2021 (average: 1.8307), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1143 (-6.24%).

2022 Avg (February) 1.7164
2021 Avg (February) 1.8307

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.7330 1.6858 1.7127
February 1.7349 1.6933 1.7164
March 1.6877 1.6466 1.6658
April 1.6728 1.5876 1.6391
May 1.6318 1.5726 1.6030
June 1.6305 1.5819 1.6041
July 1.5814 1.5201 1.5456
August 1.5659 1.5080 1.5375
September 1.5380 1.4558 1.5037
October 1.5199 1.4720 1.4911
November 1.5814 1.4782 1.5493
December 1.6219 1.5862 1.6058