2016 RSD to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.6669 DJF

YEARLY LOW

1.5029 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.5984 DJF

2016 RSD to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RSD to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 3, valuing the pair at 1.6669. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 1.5029.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1640 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5748 to the December average rate of 1.5251, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.6669 was down 6.48% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.7823, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,334 DJF

2015 Average 8,169 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 7,514 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 819.88 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.6522

1.5135

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6135, compared to 1.5834 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0301 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6135

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5834

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0902 DJF (High: 1.6138 / Low: 1.5237). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0159 DJF (High: 1.6212 / Low: 1.6053).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0902

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0159

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0365 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0365

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 1.6331) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.6422), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0091 (-0.55%).

2016 Avg (May) 1.6331

2015 Avg (May) 1.6422

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.5902	1.5603	1.5748
February	1.6359	1.5715	1.6066
March	1.6454	1.5637	1.6067
April	1.6603	1.6243	1.6407
May	1.6669	1.6024	1.6331
June	1.6408	1.5839	1.6192
July	1.6062	1.5757	1.5921
August	1.6309	1.5970	1.6137
September	1.6212	1.6053	1.6147
October	1.6231	1.5700	1.5932
November	1.6138	1.5237	1.5615
December	1.5525	1.5029	1.5251