YEARLY HIGH
1.7016 DJF
YEARLY LOW
1.5729 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6433 DJF

2024 RSD to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the RSD to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 25, valuing the pair at 1.7016. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 1.5729.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1287 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6558 to the December average rate of 1.5925, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.82% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 1.7016 was down 0.18% compared to the 2023 peak of 1.7046, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,508 DJF
2023 Average 8,204 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 7,865 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 643.36 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

1.6984
1.5829
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.6409, compared to 1.6458 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0049 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.6409
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6458

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was November, with a trading range of 0.0808 DJF (High: 1.6608 / Low: 1.5800). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0269 DJF (High: 1.6616 / Low: 1.6347).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0808
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0269

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0405 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0405

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2024: 1.6888) against the same month in 2023 (average: 1.6205), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0682 (+4.21%).

2024 Avg (September) 1.6888
2023 Avg (September) 1.6205

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.6764 1.6390 1.6558
February 1.6540 1.6249 1.6389
March 1.6616 1.6347 1.6488
April 1.6482 1.6119 1.6277
May 1.6527 1.6189 1.6399
June 1.6555 1.6169 1.6343
July 1.6627 1.6281 1.6487
August 1.6977 1.6382 1.6732
September 1.7016 1.6727 1.6888
October 1.6807 1.6363 1.6560
November 1.6608 1.5800 1.6156
December 1.6114 1.5729 1.5925