2011 SCR to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0080 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.8461 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9413 MDL

2011 SCR to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the SCR to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 17, valuing the pair at 1.0080. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 0.8461.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1619 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9802 to the December average rate of 0.8811, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.11% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1.0080 was down 12.22% compared to the 2010 peak of 1.1484, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,040 MDL

2010 Average 5,103 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 4,230 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 809.74 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.9901

0.8712

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9586, compared to 0.9241 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0345 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9586

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9241

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 0.0759 MDL (High: 0.9714 / Low: 0.8955). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0376 MDL (High: 0.9949 / Low: 0.9573).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0759

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0376

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2011. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0377 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0377

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 0.9802) against the same month in 2010 (average: 1.1174), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1372 (-12.28%).

2011 Avg (January) 0.9802

2010 Avg (January) 1.1174

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0080	0.9493	0.9802
February	0.9949	0.9573	0.9734
March	0.9904	0.9528	0.9707
April	0.9820	0.9173	0.9503
May	0.9631	0.9105	0.9359
June	0.9670	0.9153	0.9410
July	0.9654	0.9077	0.9406
August	0.9415	0.8955	0.9267
September	0.9732	0.9063	0.9439
October	0.9714	0.8955	0.9333
November	0.9345	0.8886	0.9188
December	0.9147	0.8461	0.8811