2014 SCR to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.1731 MDL

YEARLY LOW

1.0339 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.1025 MDL

2014 SCR to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the SCR to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 1.1731. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 2, dropping to 1.0339.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1392 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0919 to the December average rate of 1.1034, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1.1731 was up 7.77% compared to the 2013 peak of 1.0886, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,865 MDL

2013 Average 5,194 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 5,169 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 696.09 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1.1430

1.0457

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1114, compared to 1.0936 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0178 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1114

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0936

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 0.1137 MDL (High: 1.1731 / Low: 1.0594). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0184 MDL (High: 1.1428 / Low: 1.1244).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1137

June Spread (Stable) ±0.0184

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0350 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0350

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 1.1034) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1.0725), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0309 (+2.88%).

2014 Avg (December) 1.1034

2013 Avg (December) 1.0725

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.1077	1.0735	1.0919
February	1.1309	1.0957	1.1126
March	1.1305	1.0876	1.1071
April	1.1324	1.0867	1.1092
May	1.1442	1.0867	1.1131
June	1.1428	1.1244	1.1347
July	1.1414	1.1226	1.1349
August	1.1265	1.0700	1.0998
September	1.1056	1.0811	1.0938
October	1.1226	1.0348	1.0759
November	1.0669	1.0339	1.0538
December	1.1731	1.0594	1.1034