2012 SCR to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9625 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.8186 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.8832 MDL

2012 SCR to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the SCR to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 10, valuing the pair at 0.9625. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 0.8186.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1439 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8493 to the December average rate of 0.9301, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.51% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.9625 was down 4.51% compared to the 2011 peak of 1.0080, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,813 MDL

2011 Average 4,706 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 4,093 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 719.67 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.9640

0.8263

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8415, compared to 0.9249 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0835 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8415

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9249

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was August, with a trading range of 0.0671 MDL (High: 0.9597 / Low: 0.8926). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0103 MDL (High: 0.9450 / Low: 0.9347).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0671

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0103

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0186 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0186

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2012: 0.9525) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.9439), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0086 (+0.91%).

2012 Avg (September) 0.9525

2011 Avg (September) 0.9439

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.8788	0.8284	0.8493
February	0.8647	0.8186	0.8444
March	0.8675	0.8285	0.8396
April	0.8517	0.8206	0.8384
May	0.8545	0.8199	0.8392
June	0.8629	0.8209	0.8378
July	0.8939	0.8276	0.8521
August	0.9597	0.8926	0.9415
September	0.9625	0.9465	0.9525
October	0.9503	0.9253	0.9339
November	0.9450	0.9347	0.9396
December	0.9430	0.9191	0.9301