2016 SCR to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.6000 MDL

YEARLY LOW

1.3882 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.4990 MDL

2016 SCR to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 17, valuing the pair at 1.6000. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 1.3882.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2118 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5544 to the December average rate of 1.5030, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.31% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.6000 was down 2.21% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.6362, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,000 MDL

2015 Average 7,065 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 6,941 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,059.19 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.5636

1.4532

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5001, compared to 1.4978 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0023 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5001

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4978

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.1767 MDL (High: 1.5649 / Low: 1.3882). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0301 MDL (High: 1.5058 / Low: 1.4757).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.1767

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0301

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0548 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0548

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1.5544) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.1967), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3577 (+29.89%).

2016 Avg (January) 1.5544

2015 Avg (January) 1.1967

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.6000	1.4949	1.5544
February	1.5649	1.3882	1.4996
March	1.5410	1.4397	1.4874
April	1.5403	1.3934	1.4624
May	1.5340	1.4263	1.4864
June	1.5690	1.4699	1.5103
July	1.5573	1.4707	1.5027
August	1.5094	1.4625	1.4897
September	1.5058	1.4757	1.4895
October	1.5206	1.4754	1.4990
November	1.5365	1.4716	1.5030
December	1.5318	1.4825	1.5030