2013 SCR to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0886 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.9209 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0384 MDL

2013 SCR to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the SCR to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 10, valuing the pair at 1.0886. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 0.9209.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1677 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9317 to the December average rate of 1.0725, the exchange rate registered a net change of 15.11% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1.0886 was up 13.09% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.9625, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,443 MDL

2012 Average 4,417 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 4,604 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 838.39 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1.0882

0.9175

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0139, compared to 1.0629 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0490 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0139

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0629

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 0.0728 MDL (High: 1.0677 / Low: 0.9950). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0181 MDL (High: 1.0590 / Low: 1.0409).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0728

June Spread (Stable) ±0.0181

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0123 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0123

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2013: 1.0732) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.9339), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1393 (+14.91%).

2013 Avg (October) 1.0732

2012 Avg (October) 0.9339

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9433	0.9209	0.9317
February	0.9970	0.9413	0.9601
March	1.0677	0.9950	1.0416
April	1.0654	1.0423	1.0525
May	1.0615	1.0291	1.0488
June	1.0590	1.0409	1.0488
July	1.0622	1.0071	1.0364
August	1.0685	1.0423	1.0577
September	1.0736	1.0473	1.0639
October	1.0886	1.0542	1.0732
November	1.0866	1.0595	1.0739
December	1.0863	1.0494	1.0725