2018 SCR to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.2684 MDL

YEARLY LOW

1.1759 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.2340 MDL

2018 SCR to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SCR to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 18, valuing the pair at 1.2684. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 14, dropping to 1.1759.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0925 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2183 to the December average rate of 1.2559, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.09% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.2684 was down 18.10% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.5488, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,342 MDL

2017 Average 6,796 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 5,879 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 462.74 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.2601

1.2104

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2273, compared to 1.2407 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0134 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2273

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2407

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.0880 MDL (High: 1.2639 / Low: 1.1759). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0203 MDL (High: 1.2643 / Low: 1.2440).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0880

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0203

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0152 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0152

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 1.2559) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.2334), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0225 (+1.82%).

2018 Avg (December) 1.2559

2017 Avg (December) 1.2334

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.2495	1.1860	1.2183
February	1.2541	1.1937	1.2249
March	1.2402	1.1782	1.2146
April	1.2325	1.1903	1.2208
May	1.2639	1.1759	1.2364
June	1.2600	1.2357	1.2488
July	1.2484	1.2195	1.2336
August	1.2366	1.2147	1.2238
September	1.2426	1.1777	1.2312
October	1.2598	1.2215	1.2463
November	1.2643	1.2440	1.2534
December	1.2684	1.2338	1.2559