2020 SCR to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.3982 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.8048 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0283 MDL

2020 SCR to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the SCR to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 16, valuing the pair at 1.3982. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 15, dropping to 0.8048.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5934 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2718 to the December average rate of 0.8112, the exchange rate registered a net change of -36.22% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 1.3982 was down 1.18% compared to the 2019 peak of 1.4150, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,991 MDL

2019 Average 6,406 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 4,024 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,966.91 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

1.3408

0.7630

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1601, compared to 0.8965 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2636 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1601

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8965

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was April, with a trading range of 0.3342 MDL (High: 1.3432 / Low: 1.0089). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0186 MDL (High: 0.9385 / Low: 0.9199).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.3342

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0186

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1755 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1755

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 1.2926) against the same month in 2019 (average: 1.2541), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0385 (+3.07%).

2020 Avg (March) 1.2926

2019 Avg (March) 1.2541

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.3436	1.2479	1.2718
February	1.3217	1.2578	1.2849
March	1.3982	1.2571	1.2926
April	1.3432	1.0089	1.1172
May	1.1040	0.9764	1.0176
June	1.0265	0.9635	0.9765
July	0.9802	0.9232	0.9599
August	0.9359	0.8984	0.9260
September	0.9385	0.9199	0.9260
October	0.9381	0.8784	0.9152
November	0.8840	0.8194	0.8408
December	0.8253	0.8048	0.8112