2015 SCR to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.6362 MDL

YEARLY LOW

1.1025 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.4126 MDL

2015 SCR to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the SCR to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 4, valuing the pair at 1.6362. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 11, dropping to 1.1025.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5338 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1967 to the December average rate of 1.5444, the exchange rate registered a net change of 29.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 1.6362 was up 39.48% compared to the 2014 peak of 1.1731, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,181 MDL

2014 Average 5,512 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 5,512 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,668.79 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

1.5921

1.1608

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3196, compared to 1.5055 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1859 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3196

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5055

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 0.2054 MDL (High: 1.3079 / Low: 1.1025). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0418 MDL (High: 1.3523 / Low: 1.3105).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2054

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0418

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0140 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0140

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2015: 1.5444) against the same month in 2014 (average: 1.1034), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4410 (+39.97%).

2015 Avg (December) 1.5444

2014 Avg (December) 1.1034

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.3079	1.1025	1.1967
February	1.3608	1.2790	1.3246
March	1.3819	1.3080	1.3400
April	1.3640	1.2943	1.3260
May	1.3523	1.3105	1.3337
June	1.4684	1.3509	1.3967
July	1.4703	1.4084	1.4441
August	1.4897	1.4226	1.4510
September	1.5863	1.4311	1.5098
October	1.5749	1.4604	1.5278
November	1.6104	1.4978	1.5561
December	1.6362	1.4839	1.5444